2026 Senate, House midterm power rankings revealed
America’s Newsroom’ anchor Bill Hemmer breaks down the 2026 midterm power rankings with contributor Karl Rove on ‘America’s Newsroom.’ Rove outlines four Senate toss-up races in Alaska, Iowa, Maine and Ohio, evaluates 16 House toss-up seats and examines the August 4 Michigan Democratic primary between progressive candidate Abdul El-Sayed and establishment candidate Haley Stevens.
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Wyoming’s Republican Secretary of State Chuck Gray has won the GOP nomination for the state’s at-large U.S. House seat to replace Rep. Harriet Hageman, who is running for Senate.
Gray emerged from a crowded primary to become the heavy favorite to represent the deeply conservative state in Congress. Gray, a prominent Trump-aligned conservative who has served as secretary of state since 2023, defeated a field that included businessman Steve Friess and Reid Rasner.
Rep. Harriet Hageman (R-WY) speaks at the annual CPAC D.C. conference at the Gaylord National Resort in Oxon Hill, Maryland, on Saturday, Feb. 22, 2025. (DOMINIC GWINN/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images)
The Republican primary was triggered by Rep. Harriet Hageman’s decision to give up Wyoming’s lone House seat and run for the U.S. Senate. Hageman, who was first elected to Congress in 2022 after defeating former Rep. Liz Cheney in a nationally watched Republican primary, is seeking the seat being vacated by retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis.
The reshuffling has produced an unusual number of open races in Wyoming, with the governorship, Senate seat and House seat all open in the same election cycle for the first time in more than three decades.
Wyoming Secretary of State Chuck Gray is running for Congress after Rep. Hageman announced she is running for the Senate. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)
The contest to replace Hageman drew a sprawling Republican field and became the most expensive race on Wyoming’s primary ballot.
The race unfolded without an endorsement from either Trump or Hageman, leaving candidates to compete for many of the same conservative voters. That stood in contrast to other major Wyoming primaries: Trump endorsed Hageman in the Senate contest and state Superintendent Megan Degenfelder in the governor’s race.
Whoever captures the Republican nomination will be heavily favored in November. Wyoming is among the most Republican states in the country, with Trump carrying the state by nearly 46 percentage points in 2024, his largest margin in any state.
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U.S. President Donald Trump gives a thumbs up before boarding Air Force One en route back to Washington, D.C., at Cleveland Hopkins International Airport in Cleveland, Ohio, on August 11, 2026. (Jim WATSON / AFP via Getty Images)
Wyoming has elected just one Democrat to statewide office in more than three decades. Republicans also hold every statewide elected office and overwhelming majorities in both chambers of the state Legislature.
